Houston Texans “Chaos Mock Draft”: Simulating the first round 50 times

Anything can happen to the picks ahead of the Houston Texans in the 2022 NFL Draft.

So how can the Houston Texans prepare for a handful of scenarios to anticipate who would be available at the third overall selection? With help from the NFL Mock Draft Database, we sent out on a mission to find out what would happen if we simulated the first three picks of the draft 50 times?

To make sure each and every run was the same, the following protocols were put into place:

• Set the draft mode to “Chaotic”
• Could only choose between the top two overall ranked players left on the board per the database’s default top rankings
• To avoid any bias in the results, a coin flip decided between the two candidates

While this does limit the number of players that can be selected, it does keep the results much easier to read. Without any further hesitation, here are the results:

Evan Neal dominates the chaotic Houston Texans simulation

Alabama’s Evan Neal was our leading choice from our simulation, with a total of 20 selections. Here are the full standings:

1. Evan Neal- 20 selections
2. Kayvon Thibodeaux-14 selections
3. Aidan Hutchinson-11 selections
4. Ikem Ekwonu-5 selections

According to our simulations, it’s most likely Neal will be on the board come draft day. That wouldn’t be the worst thing as the Houston Texans really need to improve their offensive line. That’s not to say there weren’t some crazy and unexpected first overall picks by the simulator.

Ahmad “Sauce” Garnder went first once, along with Purdue’s George Karlaftis. All of these players that wound up being selected would be a good fit for Houston.

Looking back on this simulation, future attempts should let the computer completely auto-select each choice. That will allow for a broader range of results and different players to be chosen.