The Houston Texans are taking on the Washington Commanders on Sunday in a game that features a team playing for the first pick in the draft and a team still playing for the postseason. Might those rather different headings change the best prop bets for the Week 11 matchup? We’ve got the best money plays for those who can do so this week.
The Texans spent the first part of this week reshaping their roster by singing both Eno Benjamin and Amari Rodgers off waivers. Just how much of an impact either of those players will have this week is anyone’s guess. Both players have about two practices under their belt at this point.
There are also some interesting side stories with this matchup, considering that the Commanders just got in quite a bit of trouble for drinking on a team plane. Among the players said to be disciplined is this week’s starting quarterback Taylor Heinecke. While it’s a safe bet that most players imbibe on the long flights home, they aren’t supposed to be doing so. The arrest of Titans offensive coordinator Todd Downing for driving under the influence brought it to the forefront.
So how does all this come into play regarding the best Houston Texans vs. Washington Commanders’ best prop bets for Week 11? Read on!
Davis Mills UNDER 222.5 Pass Yards Prop Bet (-114)
It’s actually a bit surprising the number is this high for the Houston Texans’ starting quarterback. It would seem this is likely built on the fact that he threw for over 300 yards against the New York Giants last week. However, Mills has logged under 200 yards passing in a game four times this year. Including the two weeks prior to his big game against the Giants. The Commanders’ defense is solid enough that it seems unlikely he’s going to light them up.
Brian Robinson FIRST TD SCORER For The Washington Commanders (+525)
The Washington Commanders have a running-back-by-committee situation so it can sometimes be hard to figure out which back is going to have the best game. However, Brian Robinson is back and he had himself a big game against NFC East rivals Philadelphia Eagles. Robinson actually had his best game of the season, rushing for 86 yards and a TD. With the Houston Texans having the worst rushing defense in the NFL, it’s a pretty good bet that Robinson will find the endzone first for Washington.
Washington FIRST TO 10 POINTS (-165)
This game feels like one where the Houston Texans will struggle to score. Washington is rolling and has the added motivation of making the postseason. I expect the Commanders to have 10 points by halftime at least and will definitely be the first to hit that mark.