Texans vs. Bears Prediction and Odds for Week 3: Will Davis Mills have breakout game?

Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Odds Week 3

This Sunday, the Houston Texans are slated as the underdogs in their Week 3 regular-season game against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, the home of “Da Bears.” Houston is entering the week at a +2.5 spread to the Bears, with a moneyline of +122. The over for the Texans is 45.5 (-105).

For the Bears, they are the favorites early in the week at -2.5 with a moneyline of -144 and an under of 40.5 (-115), with all the odds being according to FanDuel.

This spread makes it feel like the two teams will be playing in a close game, with the play of the Bears thus far making them the slight favorites against the winless Texans team, who are 0-1-1. The Bears (1-1) are coming off a loss to the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football, while Houston lost to the Denver Broncos in Week 2.

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Prediction Week 3

For Houston to win a football game, Texans quarterback Davis Mills needs to have his breakout game, and that means the entire offense must play better, too. In Week 2, Mills was 19-of-38 for 177 yards with no touchdowns being the negative, but a positive is he didn’t have any interceptions.

Houston had just six passes that went for a first down, and Mills was sacked three times in Week 2, so there is a lot of work to be done.

Mills will be facing a Bears defense that just lost to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, a game where Rogers was 19-of-25 for 234 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Chicago in Week 1 faced Trey Lance of the San Francisco 49ers, and they allowed him to go 13-of-28 for 164 yards with no touchdowns and one interception.

So for the season in two games, Chicago has allowed only 398 yards passing with two touchdowns allowed and one interception. Mills and the Texans’ offense don’t have a walk in the park in front of them by any means, so for Mills to have his breakout game of 2022, he’s going to need more than Brandin Cooks to make an impact in the passing game.

The game prediction of the Texans in Week 3 is Houston will have a strong battle and play with a lot of fight, but they will not cover the spread, losing by a touchdown to the Bears at 17-10. That said, Mills will be the second quarterback this season to pass for over 230 yards against Chicago’s defense in ’22, but it won’t be a “breakout game” Houston needs for a win.

What is your prediction?

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