1. Davis Mills UNDER 18.5 completions (-130)
After what the Houston Texans offense exposed themselves to be last Sunday in the shutout loss to the Buffalo Bills, it is tough to see rookie quarterback Davis Mills being that much better this week as he continues to go through his growing pains in the NFL.
With this being his third start in the NFL, and after playing defenses like the Browns, Panthers and Bills, the Patriots aren’t as good as those units, but they aren’t bad either, so nothing is a given in this matchup.
Mills has completed 19 passes once this season, that being on Thursday Night Football against the Panthers, where he was 19-of-28 for 168 yards passing with one touchdown and no interceptions. It wasn’t the greatest day, and mistakes were made, but compared to how he played 10 days later, that was a much better start.
Last Sunday, Mills had just 11 completions on 21 attempts for 87 yards with four interceptions and no touchdowns. Mills needs a lot of time to improve his game, and he’s been thrown into this starter’s role by default when Tyrod Taylor was injured in Week 2.
In four games in ’21, the Patriots’ defense has allowed 70 completions, a average of 17.5 completions per game, so the numbers aren’t on the side of Mills in this one to have 19 completions in this game, but the great thing about the NFL is you never know what’s going to happen.