Things look very bad for the Houston Texans, but they’re still in the hunt for a playoff spot.
Even before Monday night’s loss to the Baltimore Ravens, the Houston Texans’ chances of making the playoffs this year weren’t very good.
But now that the Texans are 4-7 heading into their final five games, things are very bleak for the defending AFC South champions.
The good news for the Texans is that they’re technically still in the playoff hunt. They’re literally hanging by a thread.
As you can see in the table below, Houston has a 0.02 chance of making the playoffs. In comparison, the best team in the NFL, the Philadelphia Eagles, have a 1.00 chance of making the post season.
This means the Texans’ chances of making the playoffs is at 20 percent right now.
As I wrote on Monday, the Texans will likely need to finish with a 9-7 record to get in as a wild card team. But there is a chance they could also sneak in with an 8-8 record, given the fact that the AFC doesn’t have many juggernauts aside from the division leaders.
If the Texans were to get in with an 8-8 record, they will need a lot of help. They’ll need quite a few teams to crumble down the stretch and that could very well happen.
The only thing the Texans can do right now is try and figure out how to help quarterback Tom Savage limit his mistakes. They may have to end up benching him in favor of T.J. Yates.