Don’t take a knife to a gunfight.
Unfortunately, the Texans’ passing game is the figurative knife. The Texans are running the ball well, but the Chargers are fifth against the run and playing even better now that Joey Bosa worked his way into the line-up. This game boils down to whether the Texans’ anemic passing game can exploit the Chargers almost as bad pass defense. I expect that Osweiler and his receivers will be better, but not good enough to outscore the Chargers.
On the other side of the ball Romeo Crennel must devise a scheme to contain the pro version of a spread offense. His problem is that if he over-compensates to stop the pass the Chargers have Melvin Gordon ready to gouge the defense. Pick your poison. I don’t think the Texans have an antidote for both. They can die quickly or slowly, but the final result is the same.
I would love to have egg on my face over this pick, but here goes. Give the points and take the over. Texans lose 30-23.