Texans vs. Chargers: Point Spread & Over/Under

Nov 21, 2016; Mexico City, MEX; Houston Texans quarterback Brock Osweiler (17) passes against the Oakland Raiders at Estadio Azteca. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 21, 2016; Mexico City, MEX; Houston Texans quarterback Brock Osweiler (17) passes against the Oakland Raiders at Estadio Azteca. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports /
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Aug 1, 2016; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel walks onto the practice field during Houston Texans training camp at Methodist Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 1, 2016; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel walks onto the practice field during Houston Texans training camp at Methodist Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports /

Don’t take a knife to a gunfight.

Unfortunately, the Texans’ passing game is the figurative knife. The Texans are running the ball well, but the Chargers are fifth against the run and playing even better now that Joey Bosa worked his way into the line-up. This game boils down to whether the Texans’ anemic passing game can exploit the Chargers almost as bad pass defense. I expect that Osweiler and his receivers will be better, but not good enough to outscore the Chargers.

On the other side of the ball Romeo Crennel must devise a scheme to contain the pro version of a spread offense. His problem is that if he over-compensates to stop the pass the Chargers have Melvin Gordon ready to gouge the defense. Pick your poison. I don’t think the Texans have an antidote for both. They can die quickly or slowly, but the final result is the same.

Next: Staff Predictions

I would love to have egg on my face over this pick, but here goes. Give the points and take the over. Texans lose 30-23.