How the Texans Don’t Win the South

Indianapolis Colts

With a win at Green Bay on Sunday, the Colts overcame one of their biggest obstacles. However, they still have some tough games left–at Oakland, at Minnesota (which looks iffy now) and at home against Pittsburgh (who is 4-4 but have whipped up on the Colts the last two seasons).

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Of course, they still have home games against each of the teams in the division and play at the Jets (which they should win with the weak secondary in New York, but in a cold weather settling like New York). Defeating the Texans is absolutely a must for them, because they won’t be able to overcome a head to head sweep on top of the games back they already are.

This team is seemingly stuck on a treadmill. They still have Andrew Luck and a good passing game but not much else. Their defense is still struggling and Frank Gore is barely passable at running back. Still, they manage to scrap and claw their way to some wins. Just think, if not for an implosion in the last couple minutes in Houston they would be leading the division right now.

To win the division, they will need to win at least five of their last seven games. If they fall in two of three of their tough games, they will need to win the rest of the games they play. Even if they do, 9-7 may not end up being enough. I rate their chances of winning the division at 20%.