How the Texans Don’t Win the South

At midseason, the Houston Texans lead the AFC South at 5-3. The Titans and Colts are each a game and a half behind at 4-5, so here is how each of them wins the division:

Houston Texans

With a game and a half lead and wins over both the Colts and Titans, the Texans are certainly in the drivers seat. However, the Texans are not a shoe in to win the division.

The toughest game they have left is in Mexico City against the Raiders. Oakland has developed one of the most powerful offenses in the league and with the Texans struggling in the pass rush and run defense, it will be hard to slow them down. I don’t like the chances in a shootout with Brock Osweiler having to outgun Derek Carr.

Otherwise, the schedule is not all that daunting. They have road games at each of their divisional opponents & Green Bay (which doesn’t look so hard now) with home games against Jacksonville, San Diego and Cincinnati.

So far this season the Texans are 5-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. Lamar Miller proved his worth in the first half of the season and looks Pro Bowl worthy. But Brock Osweiler hasn’t. Osweiler has made two many mistakes and even in win has been erratic. The defense has been good enough to get by, even with the injuries riddling the secondary and to NFL DPOY J.J. Watt.

They will win the division if they take care of their divisional opponents. With head to head sweeps of the Colts and Titans, Houston undoubtedly wins the division. I would say they have a 70% chance of winning the division.