The Chiefs are a 2 1/2 point underdog against the Texans. The Over & Under is 43.5. I predicted the Texans by 3 and the Under in June. What, if anything, has changed?
Looking back at the Bears game, the June prediction was spot on, but I missed the Over/Under in the follow-up prediction that used pre-game information. I blame that partly on J. J. Watt. I didn’t believe he could play more than a cameo role so soon after back surgery. My advice for those who thought he could play significant snaps was to pick the Under, but I leaned the other way…just flat forgot that he is J. J. Watt.
Even so, except for a dropped touchdown pass (Will Fuller), a missed touchdown pass (DeAndre Hopkins – too tough to be considered a drop, but catchable) and two red zone penalties the Over was the way to go. However, “Ifs” and “buts” are for losers and I lost that one.
The Chiefs are a much stronger opponent than the Bears. Justin Houston is on the PUP list, but Duane Brown’s absence makes that a push. Brian Cushing is out, but he may have been on the sidelines a lot as the Texans use sub-packages to counter the Chiefs short/intermediate passing game. Overall, not a lot has changed since June when “pick-’em” was the Vegas call.