Houston Texans: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly – Wrap-up
By Bob Dove
![Nov 16, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Houston Texans general manager Rick Smith (left), owner Bob McNair (center) and vice chairman D. Cal McNair watch on the sidelines during a NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports Nov 16, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Houston Texans general manager Rick Smith (left), owner Bob McNair (center) and vice chairman D. Cal McNair watch on the sidelines during a NFL football game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/shape/cover/sport/https-3A-2F-2Ftorotimes-com-2Ffiles-2F2016-2F07-2Frick-smith-bob-mcnair-nfl-houston-texans-cincinnati-bengals-790x560-c17b3caa0a191badf67b3fe4e430df8e878c069bdd790948486a8d715a37e553.jpg)
Wrap-up – The Good, The Bad and The Ugly – Before doing the position group analysis I predicted a 10-6 record and at least one playoff win for the 2016 Texans. That’s still my pick, but due to the uncertainty surrounding J.J. Watt I now think 9-7 is more likely than 11-5. What are the chances the Texans will exceed or fall sort of expectations?
The Good – Everything must go right for the Texans to reach the AFC Championship game. There is a lot of talent, but that much good fortune doesn’t happen often.
Likelihood of The Good – 10%
The Bad – The Texans miss the playoffs or lose the first playoff game. In a greatly improved AFC South there is not much margin for error. The schedule is tougher and the Texans are “all in” on Brock Osweiler.
Likelihood of The Bad – 30%
The Ugly – Lightening doesn’t strike twice. The Texans can’t collapse again…can they?
Likelihood of The Ugly – 5%
The silly season is over. Pads are going on and the first preseason game is just around the corner. This wrap-up predicts, with a lot of “ifs” and “buts”, a 65% chance the Texans will win at least one playoff game. What’s your prediction – Over or Under?