Wrap-up – The Good, The Bad and The Ugly – Before doing the position group analysis I predicted a 10-6 record and at least one playoff win for the 2016 Texans. That’s still my pick, but due to the uncertainty surrounding J.J. Watt I now think 9-7 is more likely than 11-5. What are the chances the Texans will exceed or fall sort of expectations?
The Good – Everything must go right for the Texans to reach the AFC Championship game. There is a lot of talent, but that much good fortune doesn’t happen often.
Likelihood of The Good – 10%
The Bad – The Texans miss the playoffs or lose the first playoff game. In a greatly improved AFC South there is not much margin for error. The schedule is tougher and the Texans are “all in” on Brock Osweiler.
Likelihood of The Bad – 30%
The Ugly – Lightening doesn’t strike twice. The Texans can’t collapse again…can they?
Likelihood of The Ugly – 5%
The silly season is over. Pads are going on and the first preseason game is just around the corner. This wrap-up predicts, with a lot of “ifs” and “buts”, a 65% chance the Texans will win at least one playoff game. What’s your prediction – Over or Under?