Sports Illustrated’s Chris Burke wrote in the Audibles page of the Sports Illustrated web site that he thinks the Houston Texans will win 7.5 games this season.
Burke had “buying” and “selling” categories in his article, as he was “selling” the Texans as he wrote the following to explain his prediction:
“Keep coming back to the same refrain with the Texans — they wouldn’t have been a two-win team last season if they had a decent quarterback. We’re in the second week of June and it remains anyone’s guess who will start at QB come Week 1.”
I still believe the Week 1 starting QB will be Ryan Fitzpatrick because he is the “safer bet” I think, because he does have a lot of NFL experience as a starter.
With that being said … if the defense doesn’t play up to some high expectations this season (I would say they have high expectations) then the Texans will get less than the 7.5 win predicted. There is no way the offense doesn’t struggle at times this season, especially if Mr. Andre Johnson isn’t on the field.
So by my thinking, the Texans will only be as good as their defense allows them, because as of right now (on June 13) I believe the offense is worse than what it was last season with questions not only surrounding the QB situation, but at wide receiver with Johnson, Arian Foster‘s health and exactly how much will the offensive line improve?
All of those questions come while learning a new system, plus having a rookie head coach. The good thing is, eventually all of it should work out for the Texans, but it will take some patience.
My guess, as of today, is the Texans get six (maybe seven) wins in 2014, but that guess will be a lot clearer before the start of the regular season.
What are your thoughts on the 7.5-wins prediction of Burke?